Quote from Thy Nguyễn on 30. January 2020, 10:18

It is true that Coronavirus hits Thailand tourism growth by steadily decreasing a number of both domestic and international tourists, because everyone is avoiding to go out of their spaces or interact with new ones who have an ability of Coronavirus infection.

Quote from Harald A. Friedl on 31. January 2020, 16:53

Thanks very much for your important contributions.

I wonder if this emerging problem is only one for China and Thailand, and, unfortunately pretty soon, also of Viet Nam.

I rather guess that we are facing the consequence of a very intense globalised (tourism) economy which supports the spreading of any virus through its intense transportation networks. It could easily hit Europe soon, and - look - it already happens...

Italy confirms first two cases of coronavirus as passengers allowed off cruise https://metro.co.uk/2020/01/30/italy-confirms-first-two-cases-coronavirus-passengers-allowed-off-cruise-12156547/

...with already severe consequences: Coronavirus outbreak: Cruise ship with 6,000 passengers stuck at Italian port after virus scare https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQwxm5d7_CI

Is this the end of the accelerating globalized mass tourism? What do you think?

Italy confirms first two cases of coronavirus as passengers allowed off cruise https://metro.co.uk/2020/01/30/italy-confirms-first-two-cases-coronavirus-passengers-allowed-off-cruise-12156547/

...with already severe consequences: Coronavirus outbreak: Cruise ship with 6,000 passengers stuck at Italian port after virus scare https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=sQwxm5d7_CI

Is this the end of the accelerating globalized mass tourism? What do you think?

Quote from Nirundon Tapachai on 2. February 2020, 17:01

I am afraid that I would say "No" to your question. This is just another panic which makes negative impacts in tourism. Sooner or later, when the incident fades away, people will forget.

Tourism in several countries will get negative effect from the outbreak less or more. The decease itself is scary but the fear of this virus can do more harm than actual decease as you can see the negative consquences happening in some coutries in media. For example,  the headline of the Guardian - "Outbreaks of xenophobia in west as coronavirus spreads" https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/jan/31/spate-of-anti-chinese-incidents-in-italy-amid-coronavirus-panic.  These negative consequences are caused by misinformation and misperception. I agree with Primisnister Hun Sen of Cambodia, he recently said "...The real disease is fear — not coronavirus ..."

Conoravirus disaster affecting tourism in many countries can be recoverd through well crisis management.  A part of crisis management in tourism is crisis communication. I think of a paper "Crisis Communication and Recovery for the Tourism Industry: Lessons from the 2001 Foot and Mouth Disease Outbreak in the United Kingdom " by Ritchie B, et al. in 2004.  Perhaps we should learn from them.

 

Quote from Harald A. Friedl on 2. February 2020, 22:18

It might sound a bit sapient, but not long ago I wrote an article with the title "Communication is not everything, but without communication, everything is nothing..." - or as Hamlet expressed it: "...for there is nothing either good or bad, but thinking makes it so":

It is always the way people are thinging about something whichs creates crises, and so, as I very much agree, it is a question of good crisis management which seems to be, nowadays, very much a question of succeeding social media management...

Wouldn't this be a very exciting paper for the conference? Crisis Communication in times of social media and influencer? An issuer which can't be overestimated in tourism in times of mobile internet...

Good night, Harry

 

Quote from Nirundon Tapachai on 3. February 2020, 9:46

Singapore prime minister said yesterday " ...the difference between Coronavirus and Sars is social media ... "  in his concern with misleading rumours and false information in crisis !

So I will be excited if such paper presented in the conference.

Quote from Nirundon Tapachai on 3. February 2020, 9:49

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/singapore/wuhan-coronavirus-singapore-confident-china-work-together-pm-lee-12380534

 

Quote from Harald A. Friedl on 3. February 2020, 14:52

What I really can offer: We have done a research about the difference perception of Westnile Virus and Birdflue Virus by scientific journals at the one side and public media on the other hand. The prognosis was that sj are also following thematic trends but reporting according to evidence based data, while public media are following the laws of attraction-agglomeration where an issue will be reported as long as it is "attractive" enough to be read by users. We found out that, as long as the number of "dead birds" - in case of the Bird Flue Virus - was raising, media were able to report the increase of "danger" or "problem" which raised the "perception value" of the "news". But as soon as the number of dead birds began to drop, the value of this news collapsed... like the development of the value of a company at the stock exchange market...
Social media is only a increased and accelerated media structure to this "news-economic law".

So if you prefer, I could present my paper on this issue instead of the network-issue. What do you prefer?

Quote from Harald A. Friedl on 3. February 2020, 15:05

Something which comes into this direction

The Economy, the News, and the Public: A Longitudinal Study of the Impact of Economic News on Economic Evaluations and Expectations

https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.1177/0093650217750971

But pretty much more helpful:

Why do we pay more attention to negative news than to positive news?

https://blogs.lse.ac.uk/politicsandpolicy/why-is-there-no-good-news/

A growing body of evidence illustrates the human tendency to prioritise negative over positive news content. But why is this? Stuart Soroka suggests that humans may neurologically or physiologically predisposed towards focusing on negative information because the potential costs of negative information far outweigh the potential benefits of positive information....

Quote from Harald A. Friedl on 3. February 2020, 15:07

Psychology: Why bad news dominates the headlines

Why are newspapers and TV broadcasts filled with disaster, corruption and incompetence? It may be because we’re drawn to depressing stories without realising, says psychologist Tom Stafford.

https://www.bbc.com/future/article/20140728-why-is-all-the-news-bad